Ukraine’s Military Launches Ambitious Incursion into Russian Territory

Summary

Ukraine’s military has launched a significant incursion into Russian territory, capturing a key gas transit point and forcing Moscow to declare a state of emergency in two regions. This is the largest attack by Kyiv’s forces on Russian soil since the start of the war in 2022.

Background

The incursion is part of Ukraine’s strategy to divert Russia’s troops from the eastern front, exposing their weaknesses, and strengthening Kyiv’s position in future negotiations with Moscow. Ukraine has been planning this operation for months, and it marks a significant shift in the war effort.

Key Developments

• Ukrainian forces have captured the Sudzha gas measuring station, a crucial transit point for gas supplies to Europe.
• Russia has declared a state of emergency in the Kursk and Lipetsk regions, where fighting has been intense.
• Ukraine has also attacked Russian anti-aircraft missile divisions in the occupied territory of eastern Donetsk.
• The incursion has prompted a response from Russia, with Russian forces launching a counterattack on a supermarket and post office in the eastern Ukrainian city of Kostyantynivka, killing at least 12 civilians.

Analysis

The Ukrainian operation is a bold move, aiming to disrupt Russia’s supply lines and weaken its military capabilities. If successful, it could improve Ukraine’s negotiating position in future talks with Moscow. However, if Ukraine’s forces are pushed back without achieving significant gains, it could be seen as a costly and risky gamble.

Conclusion

Ukraine’s incursion into Russian territory is a significant development in the ongoing war, marking a new phase in the conflict. The outcome of this operation will have far-reaching implications for the war effort and the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.

Author: www.ft.com

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